On stochastic modeling of flow in multimodal heterogeneous formations
نویسندگان
چکیده
[1] Most existing stochastic models are developed for unimodal porous media that may be well characterized with only the first two statistical moments. However, the distribution of hydraulic properties, such as hydraulic conductivity, may possess a multiplicity of modes; thus the first two moments may not be adequate to characterize properties of such porous media. In turn, the stochastic models developed for unimodal porous media may not be applicable to flow and transport in a multimodal heterogeneous porous medium. This study investigates under what circumstances the second-order moment-based stochastic models are applicable to multimodal heterogeneous porous media. We assume that a porous medium is composed of a number of materials (categories), each of which may have a different mean, variance, and correlation scale. The distribution of materials in the domain is characterized by indicator random variables. We first derive analytical expressions for the mean and covariance of the log saturated hydraulic conductivity (ln Ks) of the multimodal porous medium in terms of categorical proportions, transition probability among categories, and covariances of indicator random variables. We express the covariance in terms of the statistics of materials in the porous medium, which allows us to accurately evaluate the variance and the correlation length of the composite ln Ks field. We then solve the second-order moment equations for the ‘‘equivalent’’ unimodal field with an exponential covariance with a single correlation scale computed for the composite field. On the other hand, we conduct two sets of Monte Carlo simulations: one with multimodal random fields, and the other with ‘‘equivalent’’ unimodal random fields. Examples for porous media with two materials are given. Numerical experiments show that a bimodal ln Ks field may be well approximated by an equivalent unimodal field when one of the two modes is dominant, under which condition the applicability of the second-order momentbased model is subject to the same limitation of relatively small variance as that for unimodal fields. When the bimodal distribution has two more or less equally important modes, although it cannot be adequately represented by an equivalent unimodal distribution, the second-order moment-based stochastic model seems to be applicable to systems with larger composite variances than it does for an one-mode-dominant distribution.
منابع مشابه
Stochastic Analysis of Seepage through Natural Alluvial Deposits Considering Mechanical Anisotropy
The soil is a heterogeneous and anisotropic medium. Hydraulic conductivity, an intrinsic property of natural alluvial deposits varies both deterministically and randomly in space and has different values in various directions. In the present study, the permeability of natural deposits and its influence on the seepage flow through a natural alluvial deposit is studied. The 2D Finite Difference c...
متن کاملMulti-commodity Multimodal Splittable Logistics Hub Location Problem with Stochastic Demands
This study presents a multimodal hub location problem which has the capability to split commodities by limited-capacity hubs and transportation systems, based on the assumption that demands are stochastic for multi-commodity network flows. In the real world cases, demands are random over the planning horizon and those which are partially fulfilled, are lost. Thus, the present study handles dema...
متن کاملA Novel Combinatorial Approach to Discrete Fracture Network Modeling in Heterogeneous Media
Fractured reservoirs contain about 85 and 90 percent of oil and gas resources respectively in Iran. A comprehensive study and investigation of fractures as the main factor affecting fluid flow or perhaps barrier seems necessary for reservoir development studies. High degrees of heterogeneity and sparseness of data have incapacitated conventional deterministic methods in fracture network modelin...
متن کاملNumerical modeling of economic uncertainty
Representation and modeling of economic uncertainty is addressed by different modeling methods, namely stochastic variables and probabilities, interval analysis, and fuzzy numbers, in particular triple estimates. Fo-cusing on discounted cash flow analysis numerical results are presented, comparisons are made between alter-native modeling methods, and characteristics of the methods are discussed.
متن کاملModeling and Simulation of Alternative Injections of CO2 and Water into Porous Carbonate Formations
Water alternating gas (WAG) technique is used in the petroleum industry to inject carbon dioxide (CO2) into underground formations either for sequestration or enhanced oil recovery (EOR) processes. CO2 injection causes reactions with formation brine or aquifer and produces carbonic acid, the acid dissolves calcite and changes flow behavior significantly. Modeling and investigating effects of CO...
متن کامل